Alfreton Town 1-2 Bedford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
3.19
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.30/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.83
-16% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alfreton Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bedford Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Bedford Town Bedford Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfreton Town
1-2
AWAY Bedford Town
64% Ball Possession 36%
25 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
17 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Alfreton Town vs Bedford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bedford Town nicked a narrow win over Alfreton Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alfreton Town at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Alfreton Town had 64% of the ball to Bedford Town's 36%, shots finished 25-6.

What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Bedford Town?

Alfreton Town 1-2 Bedford Town in the England - Conference on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Bedford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 44%, draw 26%, Bedford Town 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alfreton Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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