Weston-super-Mare 1-2 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
13%
13.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.1pp
20%
Draw
27%
-6.9pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.43/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.41
-1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
309 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
2W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 3-2 HT 2-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
29.03.2025 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 2-4 HT 0-2 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
31.08.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 3-2 HT 3-1 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch edged past Weston-super-Mare 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 20% / 38% — and on the day AFC Hornchurch made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 2.33 for AFC Hornchurch.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Hornchurch?

Weston-super-Mare 1-2 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 42%, draw 20%, AFC Hornchurch 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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