AFC Hornchurch 3-2 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.6
2-3 Goals
48%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
19.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.04/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.62
-26% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Hornchurch
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2025 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 2-4 HT 0-2 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
31.08.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 3-2 HT 3-1 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Hornchurch
3-2
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch edged past Weston-super-Mare 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; AFC Hornchurch found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Hornchurch had 38% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 62%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AFC Hornchurch and 3.50 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Weston-super-Mare?

AFC Hornchurch 3-2 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 36%, draw 27%, Weston-super-Mare 36%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✗ Under 2.5
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