Weston-super-Mare 3-2 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 31 Aug 2024

Weston-super-Mare
3-2 HT 3-1
AFC Hornchurch
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Hornchurch Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
22%
3.79
6+ Goals
11%
16.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.79 — our 22% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.4pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Weston-super-Mare v AFC Hornchurch — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
1.31/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-2% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +128% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare edged past AFC Hornchurch 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Weston-super-Mare found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Hornchurch?

Weston-super-Mare 3-2 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 34%, draw 32%, AFC Hornchurch 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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