AFC Hornchurch 2-4 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +11%
1.12/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.11
-16% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Hornchurch
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
31.08.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 3-2 HT 3-1 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Hornchurch
2-4
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare saw off AFC Hornchurch 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Weston-super-Mare made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Hornchurch had 50% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 50%, shots finished 9-16.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Weston-super-Mare?

AFC Hornchurch 2-4 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 34%, draw 30%, Weston-super-Mare 36%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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