Maidstone United 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.05
6+ Goals
7%
19.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 34% vs market 30.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.70/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.29
+11% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
15.02.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
26.10.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
10.02.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-1 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
26.08.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
23.04.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-4 HT 0-2 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town nicked a narrow win over Maidstone United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Maidstone United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidstone United had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Maidstone United and 0.50 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Maidstone United 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 42%, draw 28%, Hemel Hempstead Town 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Maidstone United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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