Union Brescia 1-2 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.94
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Brescia EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +7%
2.16/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.36
+37% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Brescia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Renate
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
13.09.2025 Renate Renate 1-3 HT 1-0 Union Brescia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Brescia
1-2
AWAY Renate
67% Ball Possession 33%
28 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 5
15 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Brescia vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate squeezed past Union Brescia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Union Brescia at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Brescia had 67% of the ball to Renate's 33%, shots finished 28-6.

What was the final score of Union Brescia vs Renate?

Union Brescia 1-2 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Brescia vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Union Brescia 57%, draw 25%, Renate 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Brescia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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