Athletic Carpi 0-1 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.36
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.68
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-4.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.08/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.44
-3% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +129%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Carpi
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Ternana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2025 Ternana Ternana 2-0 HT 1-0 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
06.04.2025 Ternana Ternana 0-1 HT 0-0 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
25.11.2024 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi 1-2 HT 1-1 Ternana Ternana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Carpi
0-1
AWAY Ternana
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Athletic Carpi vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana edged past Athletic Carpi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Athletic Carpi had 33% of the ball to Ternana's 67%, shots finished 6-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ternana led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Athletic Carpi and 1.33 for Ternana.

What was the final score of Athletic Carpi vs Ternana?

Athletic Carpi 0-1 Ternana in the Italy - Serie C on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Carpi vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Athletic Carpi 24%, draw 32%, Ternana 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
24 Jan 2026
16:30 Union Brescia vs Renate Analysis →
16:30 AlbinoLeffe vs Trento AC Analysis →
16:30 Sassari Torres vs Bra Analysis →
16:30 Benevento vs Siracusa Analysis →
16:30 US Latina vs Foggia Calcio Analysis →
19:30 Virtus Verona vs Pro Vercelli Analysis →