Ternana 2-0 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
19%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.69
4-5 Goals
19%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
21.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
23%
-4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.09/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.98
+46% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ternana
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Athletic Carpi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Ternana Ternana 0-1 HT 0-0 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
25.11.2024 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi 1-2 HT 1-1 Ternana Ternana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
2-0
AWAY Athletic Carpi
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Athletic Carpi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana beat Athletic Carpi 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ternana had 45% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 55%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ternana and 1.00 for Athletic Carpi.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Athletic Carpi?

Ternana 2-0 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ternana 50%, draw 31%, Athletic Carpi 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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