Renate 1-3 Union Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.11
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
5.14
6+ Goals
7%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Brescia EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
0.82/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-28% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
1-3
AWAY Union Brescia
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Renate vs Union Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Brescia got the better of Renate 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Brescia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Renate had 37% of the ball to Union Brescia's 63%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Renate vs Union Brescia?

Renate 1-3 Union Brescia in the Italy - Serie C on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Union Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Renate 28%, draw 31%, Union Brescia 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Brescia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Brescia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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