Nuova Monterosi 1-2 Ravenna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.6
6+ Goals
10%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 29% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nuova Monterosi EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ravenna EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.19/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.28
+2% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
237 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nuova Monterosi
1-2
AWAY Ravenna
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nuova Monterosi vs Ravenna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ravenna nicked a narrow win over Nuova Monterosi 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Ravenna found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nuova Monterosi had 50% of the ball to Ravenna's 50%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Nuova Monterosi vs Ravenna?

Nuova Monterosi 1-2 Ravenna in the Italy - Serie C on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nuova Monterosi vs Ravenna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ravenna win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nuova Monterosi 31%, draw 31%, Ravenna 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ravenna), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ravenna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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