Lumezzane 1-2 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.59
Over 2.5
52%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
24%
4.45
6+ Goals
8%
24.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
59%
-11.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
41%
+11.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.48/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.04
+27% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Triestina
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-3 HT 0-3 Triestina Triestina İTC
26.09.2024 Triestina Triestina 2-3 HT 1-2 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
18.02.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 3-0 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
14.10.2023 Triestina Triestina 2-1 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
1-2
AWAY Triestina
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina squeezed past Lumezzane 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Triestina made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lumezzane had 47% of the ball to Triestina's 53%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lumezzane and 1.75 for Triestina.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Triestina?

Lumezzane 1-2 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 35%, draw 27%, Triestina 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triestina), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
13 Sep 2025
16:00 Pro Vercelli vs Virtus Verona Analysis →
16:00 Renate vs Union Brescia Analysis →
16:00 Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione Analysis →
16:00 Pianese vs Sambenedettese Analysis →
16:00 Nuova Monterosi vs Ravenna Analysis →
18:30 Forli vs Gubbio Analysis →