Lumezzane 1-3 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.26/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.94
+15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Triestina
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2024 Triestina Triestina 2-3 HT 1-2 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
18.02.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 3-0 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
14.10.2023 Triestina Triestina 2-1 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
1-3
AWAY Triestina
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina got the better of Lumezzane 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Triestina made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lumezzane had 57% of the ball to Triestina's 43%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lumezzane had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Lumezzane and 1.33 for Triestina.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Triestina?

Lumezzane 1-3 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 32%, draw 28%, Triestina 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triestina), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triestina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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