Sassari Torres 2-1 Sestri Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 34% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-14.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.55/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.79
-12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
305 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassari Torres
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sestri Levante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 1-2 HT 0-1 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
04.02.2024 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-1 HT 0-1 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante İTC
24.09.2023 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 0-1 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassari Torres
2-1
AWAY Sestri Levante
80% Ball Possession 20%
20 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sassari Torres vs Sestri Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassari Torres squeezed past Sestri Levante 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sassari Torres as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sassari Torres had 80% of the ball to Sestri Levante's 20%, shots finished 20-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sassari Torres had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sassari Torres and 0.67 for Sestri Levante.

What was the final score of Sassari Torres vs Sestri Levante?

Sassari Torres 2-1 Sestri Levante in the Italy - Serie C on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassari Torres vs Sestri Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sassari Torres 52%, draw 25%, Sestri Levante 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassari Torres) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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