Audace Cerignola 2-0 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.48
6+ Goals
10%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.51/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.30
+7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Catania
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.09.2024 Catania Catania 0-0 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
15.03.2024 Catania Catania 2-1 HT 1-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
12.11.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-0 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
2-0
AWAY Catania
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola beat Catania 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Audace Cerignola as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 55% of the ball to Catania's 45%, shots finished 12-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Audace Cerignola and 0.67 for Catania.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs Catania?

Audace Cerignola 2-0 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 41%, draw 29%, Catania 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audace Cerignola), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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