Pergolettese 3-1 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 51%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.14/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.00
+8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
257 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pergolettese
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Atalanta II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.09.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 5-1 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
16.03.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 0-2 HT 0-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
11.11.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-3 HT 0-1 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pergolettese
3-1
AWAY Atalanta II
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pergolettese vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pergolettese got the better of Atalanta II 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Pergolettese found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Pergolettese had 54% of the ball to Atalanta II's 46%, shots finished 15-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atalanta II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pergolettese and 2.67 for Atalanta II.

What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Atalanta II?

Pergolettese 3-1 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 34%, draw 27%, Atalanta II 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atalanta II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✓ BTTS Yes
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