Avellino 3-1 Torre Neapolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.11
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.58
2-3 Goals
45%
2.11
4-5 Goals
25%
2.36
6+ Goals
12%
4.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
85%
-18.9pp
18%
Draw
9%
+9.3pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 9%
-35% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.26/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.05
-38% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
498 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Torre Neapolis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
07.04.2024 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 0-4 HT 0-2 Avellino Avellino İTC
03.12.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-0 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
08.04.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-1 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
04.12.2022 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-3 HT 1-2 Avellino Avellino İTC
02.11.2022 Avellino Avellino 1-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
3-1
AWAY Torre Neapolis
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Torre Neapolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino got the better of Torre Neapolis 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Avellino had 67% of the ball to Torre Neapolis's 33%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avellino had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Avellino and 0.33 for Torre Neapolis.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Torre Neapolis?

Avellino 3-1 Torre Neapolis in the Italy - Serie C on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Torre Neapolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Avellino 66%, draw 18%, Torre Neapolis 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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