Pianese 1-1 Sambenedettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.69
4-5 Goals
21%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
21.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sambenedettese EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.04/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.17
-16% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
1-1
AWAY Sambenedettese
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pianese vs Sambenedettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pianese and Sambenedettese shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pianese had 41% of the ball to Sambenedettese's 59%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Pianese vs Sambenedettese?

Pianese 1-1 Sambenedettese in the Italy - Serie C on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs Sambenedettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pianese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pianese 40%, draw 25%, Sambenedettese 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pianese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pianese) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
13 Sep 2025
16:00 Pro Vercelli vs Virtus Verona Analysis →
16:00 Renate vs Union Brescia Analysis →
16:00 Lumezzane vs Triestina Analysis →
16:00 Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione Analysis →
16:00 Nuova Monterosi vs Ravenna Analysis →
18:30 Forli vs Gubbio Analysis →