Shamakhi 0-4 Qabala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 24 Jan 2026

Shamakhi
0-4 HT 0-1
Qabala
📅24/01/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Shamakhi vs Qabala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.7pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shamakhi v Qabala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Qabala EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -17%
0.96/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.59
-27% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Shamakhi vs Qabala Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Qabala
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
05.10.2025 Qabala Qabala 0-1 HT 0-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
22.05.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
17.03.2023 Qabala Qabala 2-0 HT 2-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
14.10.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-1 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
14.08.2022 Qabala Qabala 3-1 HT 3-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
15.05.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-1 Qabala Qabala AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Qabala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qabala ran out comfortable winners over Shamakhi 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shamakhi at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qabala led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shamakhi and 1.17 for Qabala.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Qabala?

Shamakhi 0-4 Qabala in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Qabala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamakhi win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 51%, draw 26%, Qabala 23%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Shamakhi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamakhi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
24 Jan 2026
15:30 Karabağ vs Kapaz Analysis →