Karabağ vs Kapaz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karabağ v Kapaz — Team-Based Signals
Karabağ vs Kapaz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Kapaz saw off Karabağ 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Karabağ at 80% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Karabağ and 0.33 for Kapaz.
What was the final score of Karabağ vs Kapaz?
Karabağ 0-2 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Kapaz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 80%, draw 13%, Kapaz 6%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5 went the other way.