Kapaz 0-0 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
9.57
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
61%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
8%
+13.0pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.4pp
61%
Away Win
76%
-14.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ EU Bookmakers 80%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
0.88/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/0.54
+60% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +35%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
225 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Karabağ
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
18.10.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-5 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
09.08.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
29.03.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 1-6 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
27.01.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 1-2 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
04.11.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 7-1 HT 5-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
27.08.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 1-1 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Karabağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapaz and Karabağ fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Karabağ at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kapaz and 4.00 for Karabağ.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Karabağ?

Kapaz 0-0 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Karabağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 21%, draw 18%, Karabağ 61%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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