Karabağ vs Kapaz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karabağ v Kapaz — Team-Based Signals
Karabağ vs Kapaz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
7-1
HT 5-1
Kapaz
AZERS
Karabağ edged past Kapaz 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (67%) missed.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for Karabağ and 0.50 for Kapaz.
What was the final score of Karabağ vs Kapaz?
Karabağ 1-0 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Kapaz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 78%, draw 13%, Kapaz 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.