Sumqayıt 0-3 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+4.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.9pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.07/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/2.00
-3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -49%
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
16.03.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-2 HT 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
20.10.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-4 HT 1-3 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
11.08.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
19.04.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-4 HT 0-2 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
18.02.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
02.12.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-2 HT 0-2 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz ran out comfortable winners over Sumqayıt 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Turan Tovuz as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sumqayıt and 1.50 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Turan Tovuz?

Sumqayıt 0-3 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 23%, draw 28%, Turan Tovuz 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
4 Oct 2025
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