Gulf United 2-3 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒16:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gulf United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 54%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.65/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.32
+36% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gulf United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Arabi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Gulf United 1-1 Arabi BAE2
11.01.2025 Arabi 3-1 Gulf United BAE2
26.01.2024 Gulf United 3-1 HT 2-0 Arabi BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gulf United
2-3
AWAY Arabi
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gulf United vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi nicked a narrow win over Gulf United 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gulf United had 52% of the ball to Arabi's 48%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gulf United and 1.67 for Arabi.

What was the final score of Gulf United vs Arabi?

Gulf United 2-3 Arabi in the UAE - 1st Division on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gulf United vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gulf United 22%, draw 29%, Arabi 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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