Express 3-1 Buhimba United Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.8pp
17%
Away Win
19%
-2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Express EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Buhimba United Saints EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
2.02/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/4.01
+25% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -68%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 0.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Express
3-1
AWAY Buhimba United Saints
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Express vs Buhimba United Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Express saw off Buhimba United Saints 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Express as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Express had 60% of the ball to Buhimba United Saints's 40%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Express vs Buhimba United Saints?

Express 3-1 Buhimba United Saints in the Uganda - Premier League on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Express vs Buhimba United Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a Express win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Express 53%, draw 30%, Buhimba United Saints 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Express), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Express) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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UGA More Uganda - Premier League
24 Jan 2026
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