NEC vs Kitara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC v Kitara — Team-Based Signals
NEC vs Kitara Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
NEC
UGA
NEC 3-3 Kitara — Actual Match Statistics
NEC and Kitara couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was NEC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, NEC had 49% of the ball to Kitara's 51%, shots finished 9-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, NEC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for NEC and 0.75 for Kitara.
What was the final score of NEC vs Kitara?
NEC 3-3 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC vs Kitara?
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split NEC 41%, draw 25%, Kitara 34%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.