NEC vs Kitara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC v Kitara — Team-Based Signals
NEC vs Kitara Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
NEC
UGA
NEC 2-1 Kitara — Actual Match Statistics
NEC edged past Kitara 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had NEC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, NEC had 51% of the ball to Kitara's 49%, shots finished 11-7.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, NEC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NEC and 0.67 for Kitara.
What was the final score of NEC vs Kitara?
NEC 2-1 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC vs Kitara?
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split NEC 41%, draw 28%, Kitara 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.