Uganda Police vs Mbarara City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uganda Police v Mbarara City — Team-Based Signals
Uganda Police vs Mbarara City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Uganda Police
UGA
0-0
HT 0-0
Mbarara City
UGA
Uganda Police 2-0 Mbarara City — Actual Match Statistics
Uganda Police got the better of Mbarara City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Uganda Police as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Uganda Police had 51% of the ball to Mbarara City's 49%, shots finished 10-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mbarara City led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Uganda Police and 1.00 for Mbarara City.
What was the final score of Uganda Police vs Mbarara City?
Uganda Police 2-0 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs Mbarara City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda Police win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 43%, draw 31%, Mbarara City 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda Police), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.