SC Villa 3-1 Kiboga Young — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
80%
-15.3pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.0pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.5pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Kiboga Young EU Bookmakers 9%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
3.31/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/3.17
+56% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -41%
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
444 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 0.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Villa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kiboga Young
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2024 Kiboga Young 1-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
3-1
AWAY Kiboga Young
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs Kiboga Young
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa got the better of Kiboga Young 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had SC Villa as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SC Villa had 56% of the ball to Kiboga Young's 44%, shots finished 22-9.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs Kiboga Young?

SC Villa 3-1 Kiboga Young in the Uganda - Premier League on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Kiboga Young?

Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 64%, draw 21%, Kiboga Young 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Villa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SC Villa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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