24/01/2026
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Mbarara City vs Lugazi Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
30%
Draw
31%
34%
Away Win
31%
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
54%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mbarara City v Lugazi Municipal — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mbarara City
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lugazi Municipal
EU Bookmakers 34%
-19% /
-23%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+4%
0.36/0.75
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/0.00
-67%
/
+20%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
9
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
169 · 69%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
295 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.2
Yellow Cards
2.5
Mbarara City vs Lugazi Municipal Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Mbarara City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Lugazi Municipal
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
34%
Ball Possession
66%
7
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
3
2
Corners
7
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Mbarara City vs Lugazi Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mbarara City and Lugazi Municipal fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Mbarara City vs Lugazi Municipal?
Mbarara City 0-0 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs Lugazi Municipal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mbarara City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 36%, draw 30%, Lugazi Municipal 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mbarara City) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Mbarara City)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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24 Jan 2026