Rylands 1-4 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.02
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rylands EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.60/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.80
-16% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rylands
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 HT 1-0 Rylands Rylands İNGNLP
11.03.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 HT 2-0 Rylands Rylands İNGNLP
13.08.2022 Rylands Rylands 0-3 HT 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rylands
1-4
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Rylands vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity cruised past Rylands 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rylands at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Rylands had 54% of the ball to Gainsborough Trinity's 46%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Rylands and 2.00 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of Rylands vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Rylands 1-4 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rylands vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rylands win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rylands 48%, draw 26%, Gainsborough Trinity 26%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rylands) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rylands) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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