Guijuelo 1-1 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
1.45
Over
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
41%
4-5
15%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.8pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guijuelo The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles The Market 32%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.35/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.89
+15% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guijuelo
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Real Aviles
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
3 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
15.10.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-2 HT 2-1 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
15.01.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 0-2 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
04.05.2014 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guijuelo
1-1
AWAY Real Aviles
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guijuelo vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guijuelo and Real Aviles couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Guijuelo had 58% of the ball to Real Aviles's 42%, shots finished 20-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guijuelo had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guijuelo and 1.00 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Guijuelo vs Real Aviles?

Guijuelo 1-1 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guijuelo vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guijuelo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Guijuelo 36%, draw 32%, Real Aviles 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guijuelo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guijuelo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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