Carl Zeiss Jena U19 3-1 Dynamo Dresden U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
43%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-12.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
43%
Away Win
29%
+14.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena U19 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden U19 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.09.2023 Dynamo Dresden U19 Dynamo Dresden U19 2-1 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena U19 Carl Zeiss Jena U19 ALU19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena U19
3-1
AWAY Dynamo Dresden U19
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs Dynamo Dresden U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carl Zeiss Jena U19 beat Dynamo Dresden U19 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dynamo Dresden U19 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Carl Zeiss Jena U19 had 55% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden U19's 45%, shots finished 15-4.

What was the final score of Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs Dynamo Dresden U19?

Carl Zeiss Jena U19 3-1 Dynamo Dresden U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs Dynamo Dresden U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Dresden U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Carl Zeiss Jena U19 33%, draw 24%, Dynamo Dresden U19 43%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden U19)
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