Hamburger SV U19 1-2 RB Leipzig U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.53
No
59%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.1pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.9pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
61%
-20.4pp
59%
BTTS No
39%
+20.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburger SV U19 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig U19 EU Bookmakers 52%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-22% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburger SV U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY RB Leipzig U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
16.09.2023 RB Leipzig U19 RB Leipzig U19 3-1 HT 2-0 Hamburger SV U19 Hamburger SV U19 ALU19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburger SV U19
1-2
AWAY RB Leipzig U19
2.72 xG 2.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
339 Passes 304
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hamburger SV U19 vs RB Leipzig U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig U19 nicked a narrow win over Hamburger SV U19 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had RB Leipzig U19 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hamburger SV U19 had 51% of the ball to RB Leipzig U19's 49%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 2.72 to 2.15 — on chances, Hamburger SV U19 could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Hamburger SV U19 vs RB Leipzig U19?

Hamburger SV U19 1-2 RB Leipzig U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburger SV U19 vs RB Leipzig U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hamburger SV U19 33%, draw 19%, RB Leipzig U19 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig U19) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig U19) ✗ BTTS No
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