Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-3 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
5.34
2-3 Goals
37%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.8pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 38%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -14%
1.21/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.48
-4% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
14.1 Crosses 19.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Nasr
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.89 xG 1.01
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
478 Passes 356
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
07.04.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 4-3 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
04.11.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
19.02.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
11.09.2021 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
29.01.2021 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr squeezed past Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Al Nasr found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi and 1.17 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Nasr?

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-3 Al Nasr in the UAE - League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 37%, draw 30%, Al Nasr 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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