Hatta Dubai 0-2 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.33
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.33 — our 30% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-7.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.6pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatta Dubai EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.33/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.57
+42% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
15.1 Crosses 33.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatta Dubai
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.64 xG 1.70
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
378 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-1 HT 1-1 Hatta Dubai Hatta Dubai BAE
15.03.2021 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-0 HT 0-0 Hatta Dubai Hatta Dubai BAE
30.11.2020 Hatta Dubai Hatta Dubai 2-3 HT 1-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
02.02.2020 Hatta Dubai Hatta Dubai 1-1 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
27.09.2019 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-1 HT 0-0 Hatta Dubai Hatta Dubai BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatta Dubai
0-2
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.62 xG 1.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
318 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hatta Dubai vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khorfakkan saw off Hatta Dubai 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Khorfakkan made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hatta Dubai had 52% of the ball to Khorfakkan's 48%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.62 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Khorfakkan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hatta Dubai and 1.60 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Hatta Dubai vs Khorfakkan?

Hatta Dubai 0-2 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatta Dubai vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hatta Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hatta Dubai 38%, draw 27%, Khorfakkan 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Hatta Dubai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hatta Dubai) ✓ BTTS No
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