Al Sharjah 1-0 Al Ittihad Kalba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.2
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.72
6+ Goals
14%
6.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.35/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.77
+5% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.6 Crosses 17.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sharjah
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.94 xG 0.89
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 Passes 192
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.11.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAELK
19.10.2023 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 2-3 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
18.08.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 3-4 HT 2-2 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
23.04.2023 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
20.12.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
04.02.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sharjah
1-0
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
0.40 xG 0.92
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
199 Passes 409
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 34
8 Crosses 38
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Sharjah vs Al Ittihad Kalba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sharjah nicked a narrow win over Al Ittihad Kalba 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Sharjah as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Sharjah had 36% of the ball to Al Ittihad Kalba's 64%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.40 to 0.92 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Ittihad Kalba.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Sharjah and 1.67 for Al Ittihad Kalba.

What was the final score of Al Sharjah vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Al Sharjah 1-0 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sharjah vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Sharjah 51%, draw 25%, Al Ittihad Kalba 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sharjah) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Sharjah) ✗ Over 2.5
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