24/02/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Gueugnon vs Sochaux II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
47%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
25%
23%
Draw
23%
39%
Away Win
52%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gueugnon v Sochaux II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gueugnon
The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sochaux II
The Market 56%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
7
4
Corners
5
315 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
303 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Gueugnon vs Sochaux II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gueugnon squeezed past Sochaux II 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Gueugnon made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Gueugnon vs Sochaux II?
Gueugnon 1-0 Sochaux II in the France - National League 3 on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gueugnon vs Sochaux II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sochaux II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gueugnon 38%, draw 23%, Sochaux II 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sochaux II), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Sochaux II)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
FRUL3
More France - National League 3
24 Feb 2024