America U23 0-1 Cruz Azul U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
No
69%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.1pp
19%
Draw
25%
-6.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America U23 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruz Azul U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH America U23 vs Cruz Azul U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul U23 squeezed past America U23 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had America U23 at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (69%) came in.

What was the final score of America U23 vs Cruz Azul U23?

America U23 0-1 Cruz Azul U23 in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America U23 vs Cruz Azul U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a America U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split America U23 57%, draw 19%, Cruz Azul U23 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (America U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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