24/02/2024
·
05:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Chihuahua FC vs Mexicali FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
26%
Draw
29%
33%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chihuahua FC v Mexicali FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chihuahua FC
EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mexicali FC
EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-56% /
-56%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+75%
/
-70%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
281 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
277 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Chihuahua FC vs Mexicali FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chihuahua FC beat Mexicali FC 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chihuahua FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Chihuahua FC vs Mexicali FC?
Chihuahua FC 2-0 Mexicali FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chihuahua FC vs Mexicali FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chihuahua FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chihuahua FC 41%, draw 26%, Mexicali FC 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chihuahua FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Chihuahua FC)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
MEK2
More Mexico - Primera A
24 Feb 2024