Guadalajara U23 2-1 Pumas UNAM U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadalajara U23 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM U23 EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Guadalajara U23 vs Pumas UNAM U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guadalajara U23 squeezed past Pumas UNAM U23 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guadalajara U23 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Guadalajara U23 vs Pumas UNAM U23?

Guadalajara U23 2-1 Pumas UNAM U23 in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadalajara U23 vs Pumas UNAM U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara U23 58%, draw 24%, Pumas UNAM U23 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guadalajara U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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