FC Juarez 0-3 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 30% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 57%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.02/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.84
-26% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
16.9 Crosses 20.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Juarez
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Monterrey
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.83 xG 1.96
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
292 Passes 374
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
05.03.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
10.09.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-1 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
16.03.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 3-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
02.10.2021 FC Juarez FC Juarez 3-1 HT 2-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
04.03.2021 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-6 HT 1-2 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Juarez
0-3
AWAY Monterrey
0.39 xG 2.23
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 5
338 Passes 458
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Juarez vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey swept aside FC Juarez 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Juarez had 44% of the ball to Monterrey's 56%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.39 to 2.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Juarez and 2.83 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Monterrey?

FC Juarez 0-3 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 27%, draw 27%, Monterrey 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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