Puebla 0-2 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puebla EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -18%
1.56/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.36
+9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
20.4 Crosses 19.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puebla
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Queretaro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.38 xG 1.23
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
331 Passes 218
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 0-1 Puebla Puebla MEK
14.01.2023 Puebla Puebla 2-0 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
02.09.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 1-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
07.02.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 0-2 HT 0-2 Puebla Puebla MEK
28.08.2021 Puebla Puebla 1-0 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
22.02.2021 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puebla
0-2
AWAY Queretaro
0.88 xG 1.58
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
447 Passes 154
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Puebla vs Queretaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queretaro got the better of Puebla 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Puebla at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Puebla had 70% of the ball to Queretaro's 30%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 0.88 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puebla had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Puebla and 0.50 for Queretaro.

What was the final score of Puebla vs Queretaro?

Puebla 0-2 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puebla vs Queretaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puebla win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Puebla 45%, draw 25%, Queretaro 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Puebla) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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