Farense vs Moreirense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farense v Moreirense — Team-Based Signals
Farense vs Moreirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Farense
POR
1-1
HT 0-1
Farense
PRLK
3-1
HT 1-1
Moreirense
POR2
3-2
HT 1-1
Farense
POR2
1-2
HT 0-1
Moreirense
POR
2-0
HT 1-0
Farense
POR
Farense 0-1 Moreirense — Actual Match Statistics
Moreirense nicked a narrow win over Farense 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Moreirense as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Farense had 45% of the ball to Moreirense's 55%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.29 to 1.10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moreirense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Farense and 1.67 for Moreirense.
What was the final score of Farense vs Moreirense?
Farense 0-1 Moreirense in the Portugal - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farense vs Moreirense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Farense 35%, draw 25%, Moreirense 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreirense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.