Quilmes 1-1 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 24 Feb 2025

Quilmes
1-1 HT 0-0
Deportivo Madryn
📅24/02/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2025

Quilmes vs Deportivo Madryn Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.1pp
36%
Draw
32%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.2pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Quilmes v Deportivo Madryn — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
1.11/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.65
-2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards –

Quilmes vs Deportivo Madryn Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.70 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
235 Passes 231
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 0-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
04.04.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
07.09.2022 Quilmes Quilmes 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJK
03.09.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-1 HT 1-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes and Deportivo Madryn couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 36% / 26%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Quilmes had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Quilmes and 0.50 for Deportivo Madryn.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs Deportivo Madryn?

Quilmes 1-1 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 38%, draw 36%, Deportivo Madryn 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Quilmes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Quilmes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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