Patronato 0-1 San Martin Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
25%
2.77
Away
40%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
32%
-6.8pp
40%
Away Win
28%
+12.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.2pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +22%
1.25/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.58
+11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +75%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patronato
0W-1D-5L
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.71 xG 1.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
136 Passes 341
61% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 23
29 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 Patronato Patronato 0-1 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
21.05.2024 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
17.09.2023 Patronato Patronato 1-3 HT 1-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
08.05.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
13.11.2018 Patronato Patronato 3-3 HT 3-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJ
27.07.2018 Patronato Patronato 1-2 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJK
POST-MATCH Patronato vs San Martin Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman squeezed past Patronato 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; San Martin Tucuman found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Patronato and 2.17 for San Martin Tucuman.

What was the final score of Patronato vs San Martin Tucuman?

Patronato 0-1 San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs San Martin Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Patronato 35%, draw 25%, San Martin Tucuman 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin Tucuman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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