Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.67
No
60%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.3pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
33%
+6.7pp
60%
BTTS No
67%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.18/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.05
-8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
08.10.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
19.05.2024 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
29.07.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-2 HT 1-2 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
26.03.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
16.10.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
08.05.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Moron 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gimnasia Mendoza as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Mendoza had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 1.00 for Deportivo Moron.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Moron?

Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 47%, draw 26%, Deportivo Moron 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
24 Feb 2025
00:00 Central Norte vs Estudiantes Caseros Analysis →
01:00 Patronato vs San Martin Tucuman Analysis →
01:00 Ferro Carril Oeste vs Tristan Suarez Analysis →
03:00 Quilmes vs Deportivo Madryn Analysis →
03:15 Agropecuario Argentino vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Analysis →