Patronato 0-1 San Martin Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 6 Oct 2024

Patronato
0-1 HT 0-1
San Martin Tucuman
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Patronato vs San Martin Tucuman Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.38
Over 2.5
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.5pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-4.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+4.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.5pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Patronato v San Martin Tucuman — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.55/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.75
+49% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Patronato vs San Martin Tucuman Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patronato
0W-1D-4L
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
2.71 xG 1.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
136 Passes 341
61% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 23
29 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.05.2024 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
17.09.2023 Patronato Patronato 1-3 HT 1-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
08.05.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
13.11.2018 Patronato Patronato 3-3 HT 3-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJ
27.07.2018 Patronato Patronato 1-2 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJK
POST-MATCH Patronato vs San Martin Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman edged past Patronato 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; San Martin Tucuman found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Patronato and 2.40 for San Martin Tucuman.

What was the final score of Patronato vs San Martin Tucuman?

Patronato 0-1 San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs San Martin Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patronato win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Patronato 37%, draw 33%, San Martin Tucuman 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Patronato) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Patronato) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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