Gimnasia Jujuy 0-2 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.36
Over 2.5
38%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.6pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.2pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
70%
-8.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
30%
+8.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.5pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.15/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.85
-7% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Quilmes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
19.05.2024 Quilmes Quilmes 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
01.07.2023 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 0-1 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
25.02.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 2-1 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
08.08.2022 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 3-1 HT 1-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
15.03.2020 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
29.04.2007 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 2-1 HT 1-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJ
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes saw off Gimnasia Jujuy 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnasia Jujuy at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Quilmes led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gimnasia Jujuy and 1.33 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes?

Gimnasia Jujuy 0-2 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Jujuy win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Jujuy 46%, draw 33%, Quilmes 21%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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