Alvarado vs Estudiantes Caseros Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alvarado v Estudiantes Caseros — Team-Based Signals
Alvarado vs Estudiantes Caseros Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Alvarado
ARJPBN
0-1
HT 0-1
Estudiantes Caseros
ARJPBN
1-3
HT 0-1
Alvarado
ARJPBN
4-2
HT 1-2
Estudiantes Caseros
ARJPBN
Estudiantes Caseros nicked a narrow win over Alvarado 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Alvarado at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Caseros led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Alvarado and 2.00 for Estudiantes Caseros.
What was the final score of Alvarado vs Estudiantes Caseros?
Alvarado 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Estudiantes Caseros?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alvarado win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 42%, draw 30%, Estudiantes Caseros 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alvarado) went the other way.